In Asia it is fighting a "war" silent. While the balance of world power - economic, political and military - are increasingly moving to the East, the outcome of this match will decide which Asian countries will emerge, which will be destined to play second the plan as an unstoppable decline. The "war" births - and the problems arising therefrom, the quality of education to combating pockets of poverty - shows that the Asian continent is crossed by opposing trend. One thing is immediately evident: the baby boom - as an investigation reveals AsiaNews Network - of ' Indonesia, already the fourth most populous country in the world (237 million). Last year 4.5 million children were born, almost the entire population of Singapore.
According the Population Reference Bureau, the fertility rate in the country amounted to 2.4 births per woman, whereas individuals below 15 years are equal to 28 percent of the population. If Indonesia is growing, Taiwan is enveloped in a parable opposite. And "dangerous." The island has the lowest fertility rate in the world: 0.91 births per woman. In 2009 the number of children born fell from 166 thousand to 191mila. Over the past five years 560 kindergartens have been closed. The Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou has recently ordered a study of the solutions to what is now labeled as 'national emergency'.
Problems "surprise" for China. The one-child policy, if it has slowed down the birth rate (the rate fell from 3 to 1.65 births per woman in 30 years) and pulverized the traditional structure of Chinese family, is putting more and more serious issues on the front of ' employment. As reported by the BBC, is estimated that by 2024 young people aged between 15 and 24 years will be 150 million in 2024, up from 227 million today . The Dragon will thus face an unprecedented labor shortage that is triggering more intense internal migration.
And the "enemy" of historic Beijing? Japan is experiencing a dramatic decrease . One thing above all: the teens were 2 million in 1992, are now 1.24 million. The Land of the Rising Sun is even older. One in ten has more than 75 years. The number of people over 65 has broken 29 million share (22.7% of the total). If for every 3.3 workers in 2005 was an elder, it is estimated that the ratio will balance dangerously: 1.3 workers per elderly person. But not enough. By 2025 a gaping deficit could fearful of labor are unaccounted for 4.27 million workers in a country traditionally hostile to immigration policies. According to the National institute of population there may be a collapse of 30% from 127 million today to 90 million by 2055. Similar dynamics, but not so prominent, even in South Korea (48.9 million inhabitants, birth rate equal to 1.2). In 2009, over 65 were the
10.7% of the population in 2018 will be 14%. Finally, the 'India . Last year you were born 26 million children. The comparison with China is a must: it is estimated that overtaking will occur in 2040, when the Indians will be 1.6 billion. In 2020 the average age in China will amount to 37 years to 29 years in India.